Long Odds for Patriots Make AFC East Bet Attractive

Long Odds for Patriots Make AFC East Bet Attractive
Fact Checked by Pat McLoone

It’s been a long time since the New England Patriots have had this kind of drought in the AFC East race. The Patriots Super Bowl odds are at an all-time low entering a new season under Bill Belichick. 

From 2003-2019, the Patriots failed to win the AFC East just once (2008). But now they have gone three consecutive seasons without winning the division title in the post Tom Brady era.

Tough luck for Patriots fans with an eye toward the new era of Massachusetts sports betting

Unfortunately for New England, the AFC East appears to be better than ever with Aaron Rodgers now joining the New York Jets. And with the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins both making the playoffs last year, it’s going to be harder than ever for the Patriots to get back on top.

So, is there any chance that the Patriots could steal the division during the 2023 season? And do Massachusetts sportsbook apps believe in their chances, at all?

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How Patriots AFC East Odds Have Shifted

Opening OddsOdds on 3/1/23Odds Before NFL DraftOdds on June 5


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Odds Going Wrong Way for Patriots

Look at how the AFC East odds have changed for the New England Patriots via Caesars Sportsbook Massachusetts from the opening line, before free agency, before the NFL Draft, etc. 

As you can see, the Patriots’ odds to win the AFC East have decreased steadily over the offseason. The biggest reason for their odds shift has been due to the trade of Rodgers to the Jets as it gave the AFC East another Super Bowl contending team. The Bills, Dolphins, and Jets are have Super Bowl odds of +2500 or better this season.

Meanwhile, the Patriots have the worst quarterback situation in the division with Mac Jones and are changing offensive coordinators once again. While the upgrade to Bill O’Brien should be a big one for the Patriots, there will undoubtedly be some growing pains from this unit.

The good news is that the Patriots should have one of the best defenses in the NFL as they added first-round pick Christian Gonzalez to the unit this offseason. Even the additions of Keion White and Marte Mapu should really help their depth in the front seven. 

But with one of the toughest schedules in the NFL and in the best division in all of sports, the Patriots are going to have a hard time winning the AFC East this year. Having said that, their odds of +1000 are attractive. As mentioned above, they could have the best defense in the division. If they can just become average on offense, they’ll have a chance to win double-digit games again this season.

While we certainly won’t predict them to win the AFC East in 2023, they aren’t a bad bet at +1000 given their history and the new coaching staff under Bill Belichick. If there is any coach in the league who can get this squad to win 10+ games in 2023, it’s Belichick. And this roster appears to be in much better shape than it was last year.

Who knows? Maybe this is the year Belichick surprises us all once again and they win the division for the first time since 2019. If that is worth your wagering money, make sure to check out Massachusetts sports betting promo codes.



Marcus Mosher covers the NFL, NFL Draft and NFL news for BetMassachusetts.com. The managing editor of The Raiders Wire is also a contributor to The Athletic DFW, Pro Football Weekly and FanSided, and previously wrote for FanRag Sports. He hosts the Locked On Cowboys Podcast.

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