New England Patriots Playoff Chances & Super Bowl Odds

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Fact Checked by Blake Weishaar

Can the Patriots make the playoffs in 2025 after ending the 2024-25 season with a 4-13 record? With new coach Mike Vrabel leading the way, hopes are high in New England. Ahead of the season, New England has a 44.4% chance of making the playoffs based on +125 odds at DraftKings. The Patriots kicked off their preseason at home against the Washington Commanders on August 8. After that, they’ll head on the road for back-to-back games, first against the Minnesota Vikings, then against the New York Giants.

I'll be tracking the latest Patriots playoff chances, Super Bowl odds, and other betting markets throughout the year from the most popular Massachusetts sports betting operators.

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR) 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, Mississippi, New York, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.

Patriots Playoff Odds, AFC, Super Bowl, and More for the 2025-26 Season

The table below outlines the Patriots’ chances to make the playoffs along with betting odds for other postseason markets. All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and will shift throughout the season based on player performance, team results, injuries, and more.

⭐ Patriots Playoff Odds+125 (44.4% chance)
🥇 AFC East Title Odds+475 (17.4% chance)
🏆 AFC Title Odds+2800 (3.5% chance)
👑 Super Bowl Odds+6000 (1.6% chance)
🏈 Patriots Over/Under Win Total8.5 (+100/-120)
✅ Odds Last VerifiedAugust 14, 2025

In addition to browsing the lines before placing a bet, keep an eye out for Massachusetts sports betting promos this season. These offers may include boosted Patriots odds or bonus bets you can use to wager on New England all year long.

*NOTE: Futures odds vary among sportsbooks such as BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, FanDuel, and more. You may be able to find better New England Super Bowl odds or better Patriots playoff odds if you visit other sportsbooks.

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Drake Maye Holding Football

Can the Patriots Make the NFL Playoffs?

The Patriots can make the NFL Playoffs if new coach Mike Vrabel's upgraded roster can deliver. New England was officially eliminated from the 2024-25 playoffs after their last-second loss to the Colts in Week 13. New England has made big changes this offseason, boosting its offense and defense. Vrabel has the best odds to win Coach of the Year at DraftKings.

What Are the Patriots' Playoff Odds?

The Patriots' playoff odds are +125 on Massachusetts betting apps. These odds are expected to improve once the season is underway due to the Patriots' strengthened roster. Sportsbooks project the Patriots' win total to be over 7.5, making them possible playoff contenders.

Can the Patriots Win the AFC East Division?

The Patriots can win the AFC East, but it will be a difficult task going up against the dominating Buffalo Bills. New England's odds of winning the division are the second-best, right behind Buffalo. Based on +475 odds, the Pats have a 17.4% chance of winning the AFC East.

  1. Buffalo Bills -310
  2. New England Patriots +475
  3. Miami Dolphins +900
  4. New York Jets +1800

What Are the Patriots AFC Odds?

In addition to the Patriots' playoff odds and Super Bowl odds, bettors can also wager on other futures markets, such as AFC Conference odds. The Patriots' odds to win the AFC are +2800, which is the second-shortest out of the AFC East teams. The Buffalo Bills and Baltimore Ravens have the best odds at +330. 

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Patriots 2025 NFL Free Agency and Draft

It’s no secret the Patriots had plenty of holes to fill this offseason. They started by hiring Mike Vrabel as head coach, with Josh McDaniels returning as offensive coordinator and Terrell Williams taking over the defense. Free agency brought in key additions, including WR Stefon Diggs, WR Mack Hollins, CB Carlton Davis III, and DT Milton Williams. 

New England used the draft to build depth, starting with LSU offensive lineman Will Campbell in the first round. They also added Ohio State running back TreVeyon Henderson, Cal safety Craig Woodson, and Florida State defensive lineman Joshua Farmer. Altogether, these moves give the Patriots a more stable foundation as they look to climb back into playoff contention.

What Pick Did the Patriots Have in the 2025 NFL Draft?

New England ended the 2024 season with a 4–13 record, landing the Patriots the fourth overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft. New England took offensive lineman Will Campbell out of LSU, a player known for his toughness, consistency, and high-level experience in the SEC. Campbell started every game of his college career and allowed just five sacks over three seasons. He’s expected to be a day-one starter and a key part of protecting quarterback Drake Maye.

2025 New England Patriots Schedule and Betting Lines

The New England Patriots enter the 2025 season with one of the easiest schedules in the NFL. The Pats' 2025 opponents combined for just a .429 win percentage last season. Most opening odds at sportsbooks have the Patriots favored in 11 of their 17 games.

Patriots ScheduleLineResult
📆 Week 1 vs. Las Vegas RaidersNE -3, ML -166TBD
📆 Week 2 at Miami DolphinsNE +2.5, ML +120TBD
📆 Week 3 vs. Pittsburgh SteelersNE -1.5, ML -125TBD
📆 Week 4 vs. Carolina PanthersNE -3.5, ML -185TBD
📆 Week 5 at Buffalo BillsNE +8.5, ML +310TBD
📆 Week 6 at New Orleans SaintsNE -3, ML -166TBD
📆 Week 7 at Tennessee TitansNE -1.5, ML -125TBD
📆 Week 8 vs. Cleveland BrownsNE -5.5, ML -230TBD
📆 Week 9 vs. Atlanta FalconsNE -3, ML -166TBD
📆 Week 10 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersNE +4.5, ML +185TBD
📆 Week 11 vs. New York JetsNE -5.5, ML -245TBD
📆 Week 12 at Cincinnati BengalsNE +4.5, ML +185TBD
📆 Week 13 vs. New York GiantsNE -3, ML -162TBD
📆 Week 14  BYE--
📆 Week 15 vs. Buffalo BillsNE +4.5, ML +180TBD
📆 Week 16 at Baltimore RavensNE +8.5, ML +310TBD
📆 Week 17 at New York JetsNE -1.5, ML -122TBD
📆 Week 18 vs. Miami DolphinsNE -2.5, ML -135TBD

New England Patriots 2025 Wins

The Patriots win total for the 2025–26 NFL season is set at 7.5 games at most sportsbooks, though that number may shift as the offseason unfolds. With a revamped coaching staff and key roster additions, expectations are higher this year, and the Patriots could be in the mix for a winning record and a potential playoff spot.

For comparison, the win total in 2024 dipped as low as 3.5 and climbed as high as 5.5 at sportsbooks like Fanatics Sportsbook Massachusetts. The Patriots ultimately finished the season with four wins.

2025 New England Patriots Updates

Here is the latest news and updates on the 2025 New England Patriots.

  • 📆 July 30: The Patriots sign TE Tyler Davis, TE Cole Fotheringham and C Alec Lindstrom.
  • 📆 July 20: New England signs DT David Olajiga.
  • 📆 July 19: The Pats sign second-round draft pick RB Treveyon Henderson.
  • 📆 June 20: The Patriots sign S Craig Woodson to a rookie contract.
  • 📆 June 3: New England signs first-round draft pick T Will Campbell.
  • 📆 April 24: New England drafts OL Will Campbell (LSU) in the first round of the 2025 draft.
  • 📆 April 3: The Patriots trade backup QB Joe Milton and a 2025 seventh-round pick to the Cowboys for a 2025 fifth-round pick.
  • 📆 March 14: TE Austin Hooper resigns with New England.
  • 📆 March 14: The Pats sign S Marcus Epps, WR Mack Hollins, and DT Khyiris Tonga. 
  • 📆 March 13: The Patriots sign CB Carlton Davis III, DT Milton Williams, OT Morgan Moses, and LB Robert Spillane.
  • 📆 March 12: New England signs LB Harold Landry III.
  • 📆 January 22: The Pats hire Terrell Williams as Defensive Coordinator and Josh McDaniels as Offensive Coordinator.
  • 📆 January 12: The Patriots hire Mike Vrabel as Head Coach. He played in the NFL for 14 seasons, including eight with the Patriots. 
  • 📆 January 5: Head Coach Jerod Mayo is fired after only one season. He went 4-13 in his first and only season as Head Coach.

Are There Any Injured Patriots Players?

There are always injured New England Patriots players throughout the season. To find out which players are on the list, check out our Patriots Injury Report page. 

Bookmark this page as we continue to monitor key developments and news impacting the New England Patriots' odds for the 2025 NFL season.

Patriots Super Bowl Odds

The Patriots’ Super Bowl odds currently sit at +6000, the second-shortest among AFC East teams. These odds will shift as the season approaches and throughout the year, based on performance, injuries, and betting action. With the roster upgrades the Pats made this offseason, there’s a good chance New England’s odds will improve if the team shows early signs of progress.

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How Many Super Bowls Have the Patriots Won?

The New England Patriots have won six Super Bowls, tied with the Pittsburgh Steelers for the most in NFL history. That puts them ahead of the 49ers (5), Cowboys (5), Packers (4), and every other team in the league.

Four of those six titles came with Tom Brady winning Super Bowl MVP. The Patriots' first three championships (2001–2004) were each decided by three points. Adam Vinatieri kicked game-winning field goals to beat the Rams in Super Bowl XXXVI and the Panthers in Super Bowl XXXVIII. The third win in that stretch came over the Eagles in Super Bowl XXXIX.

After a 10-year title drought, New England returned to the top with a dramatic win over the Seahawks in Super Bowl XLIX, sealed by Malcolm Butler’s unforgettable goal-line interception. The Patriots followed that with an iconic comeback in Super Bowl LI, erasing a 28–3 deficit to beat the Falcons 34–28 in overtime. Then, in Super Bowl LIII, they held the Rams without a touchdown in a 13–3 defensive slugfest.

As for losses, the Patriots fell to the Eagles in Super Bowl LII and to the Giants in both Super Bowl XLII and XLVI.

MORE: New England fans should check out our Patriots fantasy team names page.

Where Is Super Bowl 60?

Super Bowl 60 will be played at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California, on February 8, 2026. This will mark the second time the Super Bowl has been held at Levi's Stadium, which also hosted Super Bowl 50 in 2016. 

Where Can I Bet on the New England Patriots?

You can bet on the New England Patriots to win the Lombardi Trophy, playoff odds and more at all major sportsbooks like DraftKings Massachusetts and others. You must be 21+ years of age and in a state with legal sports betting to bet on Patriots odds or any other sporting events.

Massachusetts Sports Betting Promos for the New England Patriots

With Massachusetts sportsbooks live, be sure to keep an eye out for sports betting promotions. These could provide bonus bets, odds boosts on another potential New England Patriots Super Bowl victory, bet refunds, or several other types of NFL betting promos.

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New England Patriots Odds FAQs

Author

Calli Varner

Calli is lifelong resident of Arizona and has been an avid sports fan since she can remember. After earning her Bachelor’s degrees from the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at Arizona State University, she combined her passion for journalism and sports. Calli has covered the NFL, NBA, MLB, NCAAF, college sports, and sports betting for several media outlets.

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