Hometown Heroes: Hypothetical Odds on Golden Globe Nominees from Massachusetts

Hometown Heroes: Hypothetical Odds on Golden Globe Nominees from Massachusetts
Fact Checked by Thomas Leary

Presented by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, the 80th Golden Globe Awards will be presented on Jan. 10. The annual celebration will take place at The Beverly Hilton in Beverly Hills, where the awards will be given out to recognize this year’s greatest achievements in the world of film and television.

Since bursting onto the scene with the quintessential Boston film Good Will Hunting in 1997, Massachusettsans Ben Affleck (2 wins, 4 nominations) and Matt Damon (2 wins, 7 nominations) have set the pace for award winners from the state. 

Another in-state celeb that’s been a mainstay at the Globes is Steve Carrell, who won in 2006 for his iconic role as Michael Scott in The Office. Carrell has subsequently been nominated 8 more times, although he hasn’t won since.

But no one from the state of Massachusetts has been more successful at the awards show than late actor Jack Lemmon. From 1960 to 2000, Lemmon was nominated 22 times, winning four trophies in that span. 

His ability to oscillate between comedy and drama has allowed him to shine at the Globes — one of the only awards shows that split their acting categories between genres. 

While Massachusetts sportsbooks won't offer any action on the awards, read on for who we think may take home some hardware next month.

The Usual Suspects

This year’s Massachusetts nominees include Boston-native Jennifer Coolidge. The beloved character actress is known for her supporting roles in Legally Blonde, Best in Show, and of course, American Pie — playing Stifler’s Mom and famously introducing the acronym MILF into the popular zeitgeist.

But her performance as Tanya on HBO’s buzz-y series The White Lotus may be her greatest role yet — already earning the prolific actress two nominations.

The only other nominee hailing from Massachusetts is Daniel Kwan — one half of the directing duo Daniels (the other being Daniel Scheinert), who together are nominated for Best Director and Best Screenplay for their multiverse-spanning sci fi flick Everything Everywhere All at Once.

Although the other Daniel — that is, Scheinert — grew up in Birmingham, Alabama, he studied film at Emerson College in Boston, where he met Westborough-native Kwan. 

After finding success as music video directors, the pair made their feature-length directorial debut with the Sundance hit Swiss Army Man, featuring Daniel Radcliffe as a farting corpse found by a man stranded on a desert island.

But what chance do Coolidge and Kwan have of bringing home a Golden Globe this year? Since Massachusetts operators aren’t offering odds, I’ve set hypothetical ones of my own as a way to dig into the likelihood of each one winning.

Once sports betting does launch in the state, stay close to this site for the best MA betting apps.

Hypothetical Betting Odds for Massachusetts Nominees

Nominee Odds Implied Probability
Jennifer Coolidge (Best Supporting Actress – TV Movie/Limited Series) 1-3 75%
Daniel Kwan of The Daniels (Best Screenplay) 3-2 40%
Daniel Kwan of The Daniels (Best Director) 4-1 20%

Jennifer Coolidge (Best Supporting Actress — TV Movie/Limited Series) — 1-3

At a 75% implied win total — which would be expressed as -300 in American odds — Coolidge would be considered a prohibitive favorite in this category if Massachusetts mobile betting was available. 

As mentioned, this is her second nomination for her role as Tanya on The White Lotus, and she is one of just two characters from the first season to return for the second season.

Given that Coolidge was a much bigger part of the storyline this time around, and also because her character — spoiler alert — dies in dramatic fashion during the final episode, I think Globe voters will be clamouring to give this award to the much adored actress.

Daniel Kwan of Daniels (Best Director) — 4-1 / (Best Screenplay) — 3-2

Steven Spielberg is the favorite to win Best Director for his latest film, The Fabelmans, a semi-autobiographical ode to movie making magic. Also nominated in this category is another heavyweight, James Cameron, returning to the big screen with the much anticipated sequel to 2009’s Avatar.

Still, these odds give the Daniels a 20% chance of pulling an upset in the Best Director category. Can the duo overcome two heavyweights in Spielberg and Cameron? 

Likewise, while Banshees of Inisherin scribe Martin McDonagh is favored to win Best Screenplay, my odds suggest there’s a 40% chance of the Daniels winning in that category.

My justification is simple, Everything Everywhere All at Once is a great film and I suspect Globe voters will look for ways to recognize it on awards night, especially if the film does not win in the Best Director category. 

Stay close to BetMassachusetts.com for hypothetical odds like this as well as for Massachusetts sportsbook promo codes.

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Contributors

Jeff Parker is an entertainment writer for BetMassachusetts.com. A writer for film, television and the internet, Jeff is a life long movie buff, with a Masters Degree in Popular Culture. He lives in Halifax, Nova Scotia, where he works full time as documentary filmmaker and producer.

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