Patriots vs Dolphins: Who is Favored to Win?
Current odds for the Patriots vs the Dolphins Week 18 game have the Patriots winning by 10.5 points. Additionally, their moneyline has them at -625 odds. Oddsmakers expect the Patriots to win this game handily as they are still attempting to claim the top seed.
Here is how the odds and lines for both games line up, according to Massachusetts sports betting apps.
Patriots vs Dolphins Spread
The line reflects strong confidence in the Patriots’ ability to control the game on both sides of the ball, especially against a Dolphins team dealing with late-season inconsistency. It also suggests oddsmakers expect New England to dictate the tempo early and pull away as the game progresses.
MORE: Caesars Massachusetts Sportsbook
Patriots vs Dolphins Over/Under
That total suggests oddsmakers are expecting a balanced scoring effort rather than a shootout. It leaves room for New England to put up points while still anticipating some resistance from Miami’s offense. Weather conditions and game script could ultimately determine whether this matchup pushes toward the over or stays under the number.
MORE: BetMGM MA
Patriots vs Dolphins Moneyline
Those odds show New England is a heavy favorite, with the Patriots sitting at -675 on the moneyline, signaling strong confidence in an outright win. At that price, the implied probability is extremely high, leaving little standalone value for bettors. As a result, New England at -675 is more likely to be used as a parlay piece rather than a straight bet.
MORE: DraftKings Massachusetts
Expected Patriots vs Dolphins Lineups
Here are the starting lineups that are expected for the Patriots vs Dolphins game, including the weather forecast.
Latest Patriots Dolphins Odds, Updates & News
Here are the key updates impacting the next iteration of the Patriots vs Dolphins rivalry.
- 📅 May 27: The Dolphins sign CB Ryan Cooper after CB Jason Maitre is placed on injured reserve.
- 📆 May 14: The Patriots sign RB Trayveon Williams.
- 📅 May 12: Miami signs CB Kendall Sheffield.
- 📅 March 21: The Dolphins sign LB Willie Gay Jr.
- 📆 March 14: The Patriots sign S Marcus Epps, WR Mack Hollins, and DT Khyiris Tonga.
- 📆 March 13: The Patriots sign CB Carlton Davis III, DT Milton Williams, OT Morgan Moses, and LB Robert Spillane.
- 📆 March 12: New England signs LB Harold Landry III.
- 📅 February 14: Miami releases CB Kendall Fuller, RB Raheem Mostert, and TE Durham Smythe.
- 📆 January 12: The Patriots hire Mike Vrabel as Head Coach.
Promos for the Patriots vs Dolphins Games
Make sure to take advantage of the following Massachusetts betting promos ahead of the Patriots vs Dolphins games.
Call 1-800-327-5050 or 1-800-MY-RESET (Available in the US) or visit http://gamblinghelplinema.org. Must be 21+. MA Only. as well as New Customer Offer (If applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable and Expire in 7 Days. In Partnership with MGM Springfield.
Play with balance. Play for fun. Play well.
Hope is here. Call (800) 327-5050 or go to http://gamblinghelplinema.org
Play it smart from the start! Live Chat @ http://GameSenseMA.com-
21+. New customers in AZ, CO, CT, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, or WY (excludes NY). Apply promotion in bet slip and place a $1+ cash wager (min odds -200) daily for 10 consecutive days starting day of account creation. FanCash rewards will equal the qualifying wager amount (max $100 FanCash/day). FanCash issued under this promotion expires at 11:59 p.m. ET 7 days from issuance. Terms, incl. FanCash terms, apply—see Fanatics Sportsbook app. Gambling Problem? Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER, 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-888-532-3500 (V
Hope is here. Call (800) 327-5050 or Play it smart from the start! Live Chat @ http://GameSenseMA.com -
Must be 21+ and physically present in MA. New users only. Must register using eligible promo code. Min. qualifying bet amount: $1. Tokens max. bet amount: $25 per token. Tokens bet max. add'l winnings: $2,500 per token. Token(s) expire 14 days after receipt. Not reissued for voided/pushed bets. Void where prohibited. See http://Caesars.com/promos for full terms. Know When To Stop Before You Start®.
Hope is here. Call (800) 327-5050 or http://gamblinghelplinema.org
Play it smart from the start! Live Chat @ http://GameSenseMA.com -
GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit http://gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit http://ccpg.org (CT), or visit Home (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/PR/WY). Void in NH/OR/ONT/PR. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $100 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: http://sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 5/31/26 at 11:59 PM ET.
Hope is here. Call (800) 327-5050 or Play it smart from the start! Live Chat @ http://GameSenseMA.com
How to bet on the Patriots vs Dolphins Odds
You can bet on the Patriots vs Dolphins odds at any sportsbook in the state. And you'll find plenty of sports betting markets for NE-MIA, including spreads, moneylines, totals, player and team props, same game parlays, and more. Note that player and team props may not be available at most sportsbooks until closer to the game. Just head over to your favorite sportsbook and find out!
How to Watch the Patriots vs Dolphins Game
The Patriots vs Dolphins Week 18 game takes place on January 4, 2025, and will be broadcast on CBS at 4:25 p.m. ET. Outside of cable, you can also stream the game live on NFL+ and Paramount+.
Patriots-Dolphins Rivalry
The Patriots-Dolphins rivalry spans nearly 60 years, with the teams scheduled to play each other twice a season dating back to 1967. The two share 8 combined Super Bowl Championships, 16 Super Bowl appearances, 35 AFC East Divisional Championships, and are the only two NFL teams to have undefeated regular seasons.
The Dolphins lead the rivalry all-time at 64-57, having dominated the head-to-head matchup early on while the Brady-Belichick dynasty took the 2000s and 2010s. Though it appeared Miami was starting to dominate after they left, the tide has swung back in New England's favor.
Patriots vs Dolphins FAQ
The Patriots won the first game the teams played in Miami in Week 2. They also covered the spread. Now, the teams will wait until they face off in a battle in Week 18 at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, Massachusetts.
The Patriots vs. the Dolphins moneyline for Week 18 is -675 in favor of New England. This line indicates the Patriots are expected to win comfortably, with sportsbooks assigning a very high implied probability to a New England victory.
The Dolphins lead the Patriots-Dolphins rivalry all-time at a margin of 64-57. Miami dominated the rivalry early on, but that changed during the Brady-Belichick era. The latest era of Mike McDaniel and Tua Tagovailoa has favored Miami.
Author
Calli is lifelong resident of Arizona and has been an avid sports fan since she can remember. After earning her Bachelor’s degrees from the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at Arizona State University, she combined her passion for journalism and sports. Calli has covered the NFL, NBA, MLB, NCAAF, college sports, and sports betting for several media outlets.
