AI Predicts Tough Season for Patriots in 2025

AI Predicts New England Patriots’ 2025 Record: Tough Outlook Ahead

The New England Patriots enter the 2025 NFL season with a new coach, Mike Vrabel, and heightened expectations as quarterback Drake Maye enters his second season. BetMGM Massachusetts Sportsbook gives the Patriots odds of -120 to win more than 8.5 games in the upcoming season. That’s after the team went 4-13 last season in Jerod Mayo’s only season in Foxborough.

While oddsmakers believe the Pats will improve, what does AI think? BetMassachusetts, your source for the latest Massachusetts sports betting and gaming news coming from the Bay State, utilized Grok, ChatGPT and Gemini to get a collective prediction of how the team would fare each week.

Let’s just say that if AI could bet, it would take the under.

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AI-Predicted New England Patriots Record

Week	Opponent	AI Predicted Result
Week 1	Las Vegas Raiders	Loss, 24-17
Week 2	@ Miami Dolphins	Loss, 27-20
Week 3	Pittsburgh Steelers	Loss, 23-16
Week 4	Carolina Panthers	Win, 27-13
Week 5	@ Buffalo Bills	Loss, 31-14
Week 6	@ New Orleans Saints	Loss, 20-17
Week 7	@ Tennessee Titans	Win, 23-16
Week 8	Cleveland Browns	Loss, 23-20
Week 9	Atlanta Falcons	Win, 26-17
Week 10	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Loss, 28-21
Week 11	New York Jets	Loss, 20-13
Week 12	@ Cincinnati Bengals	Loss,34-17
Week 13	New York Giants	Win, 24-10
Week 14	BYE	-
Week 15	Buffalo Bills	Loss, 27-17
Week 16	@ Baltimore Ravens	Loss, 30-13
Week 17	@ New York Jets	Loss, 23-16
Week 18	Miami Dolphins	Loss, 24-20

AI vs. Oddsmakers: Patriots’ 2025 Odds Analysis

Artificial intelligence applications anticipate a third straight 4-13 campaign in New England. While the Patriots aren’t favored to reach the playoffs – Fanatics MA +150 odds to advance to the postseason equates to a 40% implied probability – many believe they would be the second-best team in the AFC East. That’s how FanDuel lists the Pats, as their +500 odds to win the division are only longer than the Buffalo Bills’ -260.

However, the projection above has the Patriots going 0-6 against divisional foes.

Caesars Sportsbook has odds on NFL games through mid-December, and the Patriots are the favorite in nine of their first 14 games. AI believes New England will lose to five of those teams outright. They are: the Las Vegas Raiders (Patriots are -3), Pittsburgh Steelers (Patriots -1), New Orleans Saints (Patriots -3.5), Cleveland Browns (Patriots -5.5) and New York Jets (Patriots -5).

Of course, anyone who has used AI to any extent knows that the nascent technology is not always correct or accurate. That’s something to keep in mind as you prepare for the upcoming season.

USA Today photo by Eric Canha.

FAQ

The AI forecasts losses in Weeks 1-3 against the Raiders, Dolphins, and Steelers due to strong opponents and early-season challenges. The Raiders’ projected run-heavy offense, Miami’s Tua Tagovailoa (7-0 vs. Patriots), and reviews coming in about Pittsburgh’s “elite defense” overpower New England’s integrating roster under new coach Mike Vrabel.

The AI predicts wins against the Panthers (Week 4), Titans (Week 7), Falcons (Week 9), and Giants (Week 13). These teams, often with young QBs like Michael Penix Jr. and Jaxson Dart, are weaker, aligning with the Patriots’ favorable schedule.

The AI’s 4-13 prediction is pessimistic compared to other projections. With additions like Stefon Diggs, rookie LT Will Campbell, and coach Vrabel, the Patriots could outperform this, potentially hitting more wins to contend for a wild-card spot.

Author

Steve Bittenbender

Steve is an accomplished, award-winning reporter with more than 20 years of experience covering gaming, sports, politics and business. He has written for the Associated Press, Reuters, The Louisville Courier Journal, The Center Square and numerous other publications. Based in Louisville, Ky., Steve has covered the expansion of sports betting in the U.S. and other gaming matters.