How Often Do 1-3 NFL Teams Make The Postseason?

The first season without Bill Belichick on the sidelines in a quarter century has gotten off to a rocky start through four games, with first-year Patriots head coach Jerod Mayo picking up a 16-10 road win over the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 1 but dropping the next three games across Massachusetts sports betting.

The odds are now very much against Mayo making the postseason in his first season in Foxborough, though there's still very slight hope for the Patriots playoff chances.

At BetMassachusetts.com, we used Champs or Chumps to see how teams ended up the rest of the NFL season after starting their season with a 1-3 record since the 2019 NFL season. There have been 35 teams in the past five seasons that have started 1-3.

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Season Performance of NFL Teams Starting 1-3

Situation	Number of Teams	Percentage*
Making The Playoffs	4	11.43%
Advanced Past Wild Card Round	0	0.0%
Winning Divisional Round	0	0.0%
Winning Conference Championship	0	0.0%
Winning Super Bowl	0	0.0%

*Rounded to nearest whole number

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Can Patriots Rewrite History of 1-3 Teams?

Since 2019, 11.4% of teams (or 4 in total) have made the playoffs in seasons where they started 1-3, while none advanced past the Wild Card Round.

While no one expects Mayo to add a seventh Super Bowl trophy to New England’s total in 2024, it’s worth noting the lack of success the NFL’s 1-3 teams have had of late, giving Patriots fans slim hopes as the regular season unfolds across MA betting apps.

That path continues this Sunday against the Dolphins.

BetMassachusetts has the full Patriots vs. Dolphins odds breakdown here.

USA today photo by Albert Cesare.

Author

Christopher Boan

@cgboan

Christopher Boan has been covering sports and sports betting for more than seven years, including stops at ArizonaSports.com, the Tucson Weekly and the Green Valley News.