New England Patriots 2024 NFL Draft Odds; Who Will The Patriots Draft At Pick 3?

Fact Checked by Pat McLoone

The New England Patriots find themselves in brand new territory after a dismal 2023 season across Massachusetts sports betting. Gone is Bill Belichick, the architect who, along with Tom Brady, helped deliver six Lombardi Trophies to Foxboro. In is Jerod Mayo, the new head coach who played linebacker for the Pats before joining Belichick's staff in 2019. 

It's safe to say the first Patriots draft without Belichick is arguably the franchise's most important in history, as the team has the No. 3 overall pick, behind only the Chicago Bears and the Washington Commanders. That means the path is clear for the Patriots to potentially select a new franchise quarterback after Cam Newton, Mac Jones and Bailey Zappe failed to fill Brady's shoes over the past four seasons. 

Or could Mayo and the front office, including Director of Pro Personnel Matt Groh, go a different way after the Jones experiment failed? Could the Pats instead pair a playmaker like Marvin Harrison Jr. with Zappe under center for Week 1? Time will tell, but has you covered on the Patriots' pick ahead of the April 25 Draft. While you're at it, check out our Bill Belichick Next Team Odds as well.

Here are our hypothetical odds on who the Patriots will draft with the No. 3 overall pick.

Player Odds Pct. Chance
LSU QB Jayden Daniels -125 55.5%
UNC QB Drake Maye +25028.6%
Ohio State WR Marvin Harrison Jr. +12007.7%
USC QB Caleb Williams +1750 5.4%
LSU WR Malik Nabers +45002.2%
Other +20000 0.5%

As it stands just under three months out from the NFL Draft, the team at like reigning Heisman Trophy winner Jayden Daniels (-125) to take over in Foxboro next season. Daniels would provide an immediate upgrade over the Jones/Zappe platoon from last season, and could give Mayo a dual threat at the position that the Patriots haven't had since Newton. Daniels, the 23-year-old from San Bernardino, played parts of three seasons at Arizona State before coming into his own at LSU. In 2023, Daniels threw 40 touchdowns (and rushed for another 10) and threw for more than 3,800 yards, with just 4 interceptions.  

Also, a possible pick is UNC QB Drake Maye (+250), a more traditional pocket passer who most scouts currently have ranked ahead of Daniels, but behind USC's Caleb Williams. Williams (+1750 to go to the Patriots) is most likely to go to the Bears at No. 1 overall should they move on from Justin Fields.

Should the Pats steer clear of a signal-caller and simply look to add the best player available, it will be hard to look past Ohio St. WR Marvin Harrison Jr. (+1200). Harrison would provide an immediate spark to a lethargic Patriots offense that dearly missed Jakobi Meyers last season. Plus, there's the thought that drafting Harrison is less of a risk than hoping another first-round quarterback pans out, as the Pats learned the hard way with Jones.

Reminder that these odds come from the team at, and not Massachusetts sportsbook apps

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What Player Positions Do the Patriots Need?

While the need at quarterback will understandably drive most of the media's coverage of the Pats' draft, the team has other holes to fill as well. And with the team owning the No. 34 and No. 68 overall picks in the second and third rounds, it's worth wondering what other talent they will consider to build around the No. 3 pick. 

According to, cornerback, wide receiver, offensive tackle and safety could be directions the Patriots go following the first round. 

Here's what the Patriots' biggest position needs are:

  • CB
  • OT
  • WR
  • EDGE
  • S
  • DL
  • IOL

Also of interest: Can Jerod Mayo Be Next Successful NFL Player To Head Coach?

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Current Patriots Depth Chart For Biggest Needs

PositionPlayer 1 Player 2 Player 3
WR DeVante Parker DeMario DouglasJuJu Smith-Schuster
LT Vederian Lowe Conor McDermottAndrew Steuber
RT Mike Onwenu Riley ReiffCalvin Anderson
CB Christian Gonzalez Jonathan JonesJ.C. Jackson

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History of Patriots 1st Round Draft Picks

This April will provide the Patriots with their highest first-round pick since 1993 (Drew Bledsoe, No. 1 overall), and judging by the less than stellar returns of their past decade in the draft with Belichick, the new regime cannot afford to miss. 

Keep tabs on this site for all Patriots news, including the Patriots playoff chances in Mayo's first season.

Year Draft Position Player
2023 17thCB Christian Gonzalez, Oregon
2022 29thOL Cole Strange, Chattanooga
2021 15thQB Mac Jones, Alabama
2020 No 1st round pick
2019 32ndWR N’Keal Harry, Arizona State
201823rdOT Isaiah Wynn, Georgia
2017 No 1st round pick
2016 No 1st round pick
201532ndDT Malcom Brown, Texas
201429thDT Dominique Easley, Florida


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New England Patriots Draft FAQ


Thomas Leary is a news editor and writer for He previously worked at Sports Business Journal for over 6 years, where he helped identify emerging sectors across sports business, such as legalized gambling, and helped launch the publication’s digital newsletter division. Thomas lives in Charlotte, N.C.

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