New England Patriots 2024 NFL Draft Odds; Who Will The Patriots Draft At Pick 3?

Fact Checked by Michael Peters

With the NFL Draft officiall here, BetMassachusetts.com has updated probable odds on who New England might take with its overall No. 3 selection.

The Patriots find themselves in brand new territory after a dismal 2023 season across Massachusetts sports betting. Gone is Bill Belichick, the architect who, along with Tom Brady, helped deliver six Lombardi Trophies to Foxboro. In is Jerod Mayo, the new head coach who played linebacker for the Pats before joining Belichick's staff in 2019.

It's safe to say the first Patriots draft without Belichick is arguably the franchise's most important in recent memory, as the team has the No. 3 overall pick, behind Chicago and Washington. That means the path is clear for the Patriots to potentially select a new franchise quarterback after Cam Newton, Mac Jones and Bailey Zappe failed to fill Brady's shoes over the past four seasons.

Here are our updated odds on who the Patriots will draft with the No. 3 overall pick:

Player Odds Pct. Chance
UNC QB Drake Maye +110 47.6%
LSU QB Jayden Daniels +16038.4%
Ohio State WR Marvin Harrison Jr. +12007.7%
Michigan QB JJ McCarthy +4000 2.4%
Penn State T Olumuyiwa Fashanu +55001.8%
Other +4000 2.4%
Odds provided by BetMassachusetts.com and not available at Massachusetts sportsbook apps.

Luckily for Mayo and his staff, the Pats’ should have plenty of options under center to choose from at No. 3, with ESPN’s Mel Kiper expecting New England to go with former UNC star Drake Maye (+110) in the first round. The 2022 ACC Player of the Year is currently Kiper’s No. 6 ranked NFL Draft prospect, coming in behind fellow QBs Caleb Williams (No. 1) and Jayden Daniels (No. 3), which speaks to the potential that experts see in the 21-year-old out of Charlotte. Maye could also learn under veteran Jacoby Brissett, who the Pats signed in free agency. 

Rounding out the top five in New England are Daniels (+160), Ohio State star wideout Marvin Harrison Jr. (+1200), Michigan QB JJ McCarthy (+4000) and Penn State offensive tackle Olumuyiwa Fashanu (+5500).  

Daniels (38.4% chance to be a Patriot) has seen his odds slightly lengthen as the clear-cut favorite from -125 in early February as the Commanders have legitimate interest in taking him at No. 2 overall. Meanwhile, Williams is an overwhelming -1200 favorite to go to the Bears at No. 1.

Maye and Daniels would provide an immediate upgrade over the Jones/Zappe duo from last season and could give Mayo a dual threat at the position the Patriots haven’t had since Newton. Daniels, the 23-year-old from San Bernardino, played parts of three seasons at Arizona State before coming into his own at LSU. In 2023, Daniels threw 40 touchdowns (and rushed for another 10) and threw for more than 3,800 yards, with just four interceptions.

On March 27, the Patriots sent a deep contingent of front office and coaching staff members to Daniels' pro day, including Mayo, GM Eliot Wolf, offensive coordinator Alex Van Pelt, senior offensive assistant Ben McAdoo and Director of Player Personnel Matt Groh. A similar group is expected to take in Maye's pro day on March 28.

The third favorite is Harrison Jr., who would provide an immediate spark to a lethargic Patriots offense that dearly missed Jakobi Meyers last season. Plus, there’s the thought drafting Harrison is less of a risk than hoping another first-round quarterback pans out, as the Pats learned the hard way with Jones.

FanDuel Sportsbook Massachusetts lists San Francisco as the Super Bowl favorite at +500, just ahead of two-time defending champion Kansas City (+650). The Patriots are second-to-last in the NFL at +17000.

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What Player Positions Do the Patriots Need?

While the need at quarterback will understandably drive most of the media's coverage of the Pats' draft, the team has other holes to fill as well. And with the team owning the No. 34 and No. 68 overall picks in the second and third rounds, it's worth wondering what other talent they will consider to build around the No. 3 pick. 

According to NFLMockDraftDatabase.com, cornerback, wide receiver, offensive tackle and safety could be directions the Patriots go following the first round. 

Here's what the Patriots' biggest position needs are:

  • CB
  • OT
  • WR
  • EDGE
  • S
  • DL
  • IOL

Also of interest: Can Jerod Mayo Be Next Successful NFL Player To Head Coach?

Massachusetts bettors must be 21+ and present to place wagers in the state. Gambling problem in Massachusetts? Play it smart from the start! GamesenseMA.com or Call 1-800-327-5050 to speak with a trained specialist free and confidentially 24/7. Full Terms apply

Current Patriots Depth Chart For Biggest Needs

PositionPlayer 1 Player 2 Player 3
WR DeMario DouglasJuJu Smith-Schuster
LT Vederian Lowe Conor McDermottAndrew Steuber
RT Mike Onwenu Riley ReiffCalvin Anderson
CB Christian Gonzalez Jonathan JonesJ.C. Jackson

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Massachusetts bettors must be 21+ and present to place wagers in the state. Gambling problem in Massachusetts? Play it smart from the start! GamesenseMA.com or Call 1-800-327-5050 to speak with a trained specialist free and confidentially 24/7. Full Terms apply

History of Patriots 1st Round Draft Picks

The NFL Draft will provide the Patriots with their highest first-round pick since 1993 (Drew Bledsoe, No. 1 overall), and judging by the less than stellar returns of their past decade in the draft with Belichick, the new regime cannot afford to miss. 

Keep tabs on this site for all Patriots news, including the Patriots playoff chances in Mayo's first season.

Year Draft Position Player
2023 17thCB Christian Gonzalez, Oregon
2022 29thOL Cole Strange, Chattanooga
2021 15thQB Mac Jones, Alabama
2020 No 1st round pick
2019 32ndWR N’Keal Harry, Arizona State
201823rdOT Isaiah Wynn, Georgia
2017 No 1st round pick
2016 No 1st round pick
201532ndDT Malcom Brown, Texas
201429thDT Dominique Easley, Florida

Massachusetts bettors must be 21+ and present to place wagers in the state. Gambling problem in Massachusetts? Play it smart from the start! GamesenseMA.com or Call 1-800-327-5050 to speak with a trained specialist free and confidentially 24/7. Full Terms apply

New England Patriots Draft FAQ

Author

Christopher Boan

Christopher Boan has been covering sports and sports betting for more than seven years, including stops at ArizonaSports.com, the Tucson Weekly and the Green Valley News.

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